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정치진행 중원문

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

선택한 항목United Russia (ER)99%
United Russia (ER)99%+0.1%p 오늘
1일1주1개월전체
1시간-0.1%p
24시간+0.1%p
1주+0.1%p
누적 거래량88.7만 달러

시장 핵심 정보

현재 공개 데이터에서 계산
현재 선두United Russia (ER)99%
선두 격차98.1%pCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 대비
선택 항목 순위1위United Russia (ER) · 99%
상위 3개 합계100%표시된 시장 가격 단순 합계

위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.

시장 설명과 판정 기준

원문의 의미와 예외 조건을 확인하세요
마감9월 30일
상태진행 중
선택 항목United Russia (ER)

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

원문과 공개 자료

사용자가 직접 확인할 수 있는 출처
Polymarket 원본 시장 데이터Gamma API · 시장 ID 1129894
데이터 내려받기현재 시장과 확률 이력
JSONCSV
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →

선택지별 확률

United Russia (ER)+0.1%p99%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)+0.1%p<1%New People (NL)+0.1%p<1%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1%p<1%Yabloko—<1%A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)—<1%Rodina—<1%Civic Platform (GP)—<1%

확률 정보만 제공하며 거래는 지원하지 않습니다.

시장 정보

24시간 거래량
2,689달러
유동성
13.7만 달러
마감
9월 30일 · D-28
업데이트 2026. 9. 3. AM 5:38:35

데이터 기록

원본 시장 ID
1129894
이벤트 ID
149565
원본 갱신
2026. 9. 3. AM 5:38:35
언어
원문 표시
수집·번역 방법론 →번역·데이터 오류 신고 →