{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T09:55:26.800Z","range":"1w","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"665374","eventId":"73130","eventTitle":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할까?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"이 시장은 미국이 2026년 12월 31일 오후 11시 59분(동부 표준시)까지 이란 영토의 일부에 대한 통제권을 확립하려는 군사 공격을 개시할 경우 \"Yes\"로 해결됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 이 시장은 \"No\"로 해결됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 목적상, 2025년 11월 4일 오후 12시(동부 표준시) 기준으로 이란 또는 미국이 사실상 통제하는 토지는 해당 국가의 주권 영토로 간주됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 해결 출처는 신뢰할 수 있는 출처들의 합의가 될 것입니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.04,"volume":64213838.87660201,"volume24h":646488.3216979998,"liquidity":849257.8443,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:50:24.478718Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T10:00:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T11:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T13:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T14:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T15:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T16:00:19.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T17:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T19:00:15.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T20:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T21:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T22:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T23:00:16.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T01:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T02:00:25.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T03:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T04:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T05:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T06:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T07:00:29.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T08:00:12.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T09:00:13.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T10:00:10.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T11:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T12:00:28.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T13:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T14:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T15:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T16:00:29.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T17:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T19:00:15.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T20:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T21:00:11.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T22:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T23:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T01:00:25.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T02:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T03:00:09.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T04:00:13.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T05:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T06:00:25.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T07:00:12.000Z","probability":0.125},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T08:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T09:00:27.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T10:00:09.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T11:00:11.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T12:00:09.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T13:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T14:00:09.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T15:00:08.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T16:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T17:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T19:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T20:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T21:00:27.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T22:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T23:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T01:00:15.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T02:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T03:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T04:00:14.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T05:00:15.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T06:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T07:00:14.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T08:00:14.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T09:00:13.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T10:00:31.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T11:00:12.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T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2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"politics","tags":["Military Strikes","Politics","Geopolitics","World","Middle East","Israel","Iran","Trump"],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.04,"volume":64213838.87660201,"volume24h":646488.3216979998,"liquidity":849257.8443,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:50:24.478718Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[]}}