{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T08:56:29.171Z","range":"1m","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"665374","eventId":"73130","eventTitle":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할까?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"이 시장은 미국이 2026년 12월 31일 오후 11시 59분(동부 표준시)까지 이란 영토의 일부에 대한 통제권을 확립하려는 군사 공격을 개시할 경우 \"Yes\"로 해결됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 이 시장은 \"No\"로 해결됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 목적상, 2025년 11월 4일 오후 12시(동부 표준시) 기준으로 이란 또는 미국이 사실상 통제하는 토지는 해당 국가의 주권 영토로 간주됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 해결 출처는 신뢰할 수 있는 출처들의 합의가 될 것입니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.03,"volume":64212769.521897994,"volume24h":647122.4963999998,"liquidity":857970.1675,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T08:54:20.723458Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T12:00:08.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T18:00:09.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T06:00:12.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T12:00:08.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T18:00:07.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T06:00:25.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T12:00:07.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T18:00:07.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T06:00:19.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T12:00:09.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.145},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T06:00:07.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T12:00:10.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T18:00:07.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T06:00:07.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T12:00:09.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T18:00:09.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T06:00:08.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T12:00:33.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T12:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T06:00:07.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T12:00:08.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T18:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T12:00:07.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T18:00:09.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T06:00:07.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T06:00:10.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T06:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T12:00:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T18:00:14.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T18:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T06:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T12:00:10.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T18:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T12:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T18:00:14.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T12:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T12:00:09.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21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2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"politics","tags":["Military Strikes","Politics","Geopolitics","World","Middle East","Israel","Iran","Trump"],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.03,"volume":64212769.521897994,"volume24h":647122.4963999998,"liquidity":857970.1675,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T08:54:20.723458Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[]}}