{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T09:55:25.871Z","range":"1d","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"665374","eventId":"73130","eventTitle":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할까?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"이 시장은 미국이 2026년 12월 31일 오후 11시 59분(동부 표준시)까지 이란 영토의 일부에 대한 통제권을 확립하려는 군사 공격을 개시할 경우 \"Yes\"로 해결됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 이 시장은 \"No\"로 해결됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 목적상, 2025년 11월 4일 오후 12시(동부 표준시) 기준으로 이란 또는 미국이 사실상 통제하는 토지는 해당 국가의 주권 영토로 간주됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 해결 출처는 신뢰할 수 있는 출처들의 합의가 될 것입니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.04,"volume":64213838.87660201,"volume24h":646488.3216979998,"liquidity":849257.8443,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:50:24.478718Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T10:00:16.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T10:15:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T10:30:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T10:45:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T11:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T11:15:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T11:30:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T11:45:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:00:13.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:30:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:45:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:00:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:15:09.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:30:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:30:35.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:45:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T14:00:24.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T14:15:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T14:30:14.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T14:45:11.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T15:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T15:15:09.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T15:30:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T15:45:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T16:00:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T16:15:08.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T16:30:26.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T16:45:12.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T17:00:29.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T17:15:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T17:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T17:45:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:09.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:45.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:25.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:08.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:08.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:26.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:14.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:22.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:07.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:08.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:25.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:07.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:24.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:13.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T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2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","title":"미국이 2027년 이전에 이란을 침공할 것인가?","originalTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","category":"politics","tags":["Military Strikes","Politics","Geopolitics","World","Middle East","Israel","Iran","Trump"],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.01,"change1w":0.01,"change1m":-0.04,"volume":64213838.87660201,"volume24h":646488.3216979998,"liquidity":849257.8443,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:50:24.478718Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[]}}