{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T23:10:46.391Z","range":"max","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"3092915","eventId":"745540","eventTitle":"다음 영국 보궐선거 소집 시기?","optionLabel":"12월 31일","slug":"will-the-next-uk-parliament-by-election-be-called-by-december-31-20260724165029953","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","title":"다음 영국 의회 보궐 선거가 12 월 31 일까지 소집될 것인가?","originalTitle":"Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?","description":"이 시장은 지정된 날짜 11 시 59 분 (ET) 까지 영국 의회 선거구에서 의회 보궐 선거를 요구하는 영장 (writ) 이 영국 왕실 소송 사무관 (Clerk of the Crown in Chancery) 에 의해 발부되면 \"예\"로 해결됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 이 시장은 \"아니요\"로 해결됩니다.\n\n영장 발부는 지정된 기간 내에 확인되어야 자격을 갖춥니다.\n\n이 시장의 주요 해결 출처는 영국 의회 및 선거를 실시하는 관련 지방 정부를 포함한 영국 정부의 공식 정보이며, 신뢰할 수 있는 보도의 합의 또한 사용될 것입니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"politics","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.9535,"noProbability":0.0465,"change1h":0.001,"change24h":0.031,"change1w":0.2885,"change1m":0.3635,"volume":4080.6052280000004,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":16799.17419,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"30277517301024578213774300392651657532106754060350050727423496722079890336820","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T23:10:34.333067Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:39.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.475},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:44.000Z","probability":0.44},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:37.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.64},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.66},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.555},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.58},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.575},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.58},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.615},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.63},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.65},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.63},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.665},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.68},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.675},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.6},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.525},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.9235},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T23:10:17.000Z","probability":0.9535}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"3092915","eventId":"745540","eventTitle":"다음 영국 보궐선거 소집 시기?","optionLabel":"12월 31일","slug":"will-the-next-uk-parliament-by-election-be-called-by-december-31-20260724165029953","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","title":"다음 영국 의회 보궐선거가 12월 31일까지 소집될까?","originalTitle":"Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"politics","tags":["UK","Politics","Elections","United Kingdom","Global Elections"],"status":"open","probability":0.9535,"noProbability":0.0465,"change1h":0.001,"change24h":0.031,"change1w":0.2885,"change1m":0.3635,"volume":4080.6052280000004,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":16564.53664,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"30277517301024578213774300392651657532106754060350050727423496722079890336820","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T23:08:34.306992Z","translated":true},{"id":"3092914","eventId":"745540","eventTitle":"다음 영국 보궐선거 소집 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 30일","slug":"will-the-next-uk-parliament-by-election-be-called-by-september-30-20260724165029952","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","title":"다음 영국 의회 보궐선거가 9월 30일까지 소집될까요?","originalTitle":"Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"politics","tags":["UK","Politics","Elections","United Kingdom","Global Elections"],"status":"open","probability":0.735,"noProbability":0.265,"change1h":-0.07,"change24h":0.115,"change1w":0.56,"change1m":0.525,"volume":8910.114671999998,"volume24h":2204.447434,"liquidity":1070.2852,"endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"104373704526468442647035847878279944126157285850133596412393678418377087591272","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T23:08:34.306992Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"3092915","label":"12월 31일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:39.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.475},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:44.000Z","probability":0.44},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:37.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.64},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.66},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.555},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.58},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.575},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.58},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.615},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.63},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.65},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.63},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.665},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.68},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.675},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.6},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.525},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.9235},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T23:10:17.000Z","probability":0.9535}]},{"marketId":"3092914","label":"9월 30일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.05},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.34},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.295},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.21},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.265},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.21},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.23},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.19},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.16},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:31.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.68},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T23:10:15.000Z","probability":0.73}]}]}}