{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T13:06:54.517Z","range":"1m","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"4060941","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 2일 또는 그 이전","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-2-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"OpenAI의 Astra 모델이 2026년 9월 2일 이전에 출시될 것인가?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on or prior to September 2, 2026?","description":"2026년 8월 1일, OpenAI는 \"Astra\"를 공개하며 내부 버전의 Astra를 자사의 \"다음 주요 모델\"이라고 설명했습니다. 자세한 내용은 다음 링크에서 확인할 수 있습니다: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\n이 시장은 OpenAI의 \"Astra\" 모델, 또는 위 발표에서 언급된 모델과 동일하다고 확인된 모델이 일반 대중에게 공개되는 달력 날짜(동부 시간 기준)에 따라 결정됩니다.\n\n적격 모델은 \"Astra\"라는 이름이 붙어야 하며(Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra 또는 유사한 명명 또는 리브랜딩 버전 포함), 또는 OpenAI 또는 신뢰할 수 있는 보도 기관의 합의에 의해 위 발표에서 언급된 모델과 동일하다고 확인되어야 합니다.\n\nGPT-5.7, GPT-6 또는 유사한 이름으로 표시된 제품은 위 발표에서 언급된 모델과 동일하다고 확인된 경우에만 인정됩니다.\n\n이 시장이 특정 날짜에 따라 결정되려면, 적격 모델(위 정의 기준)이 출시되어 일반 대중이 접근할 수 있어야 하며, 여기에는 공개 베타 또는 공개 롤링 대기열 가입을 통한 접근도 포함됩니다. 폐쇄 베타 또는 어떤 형태의 비공개 접근도 충분하지 않습니다.\n\n출시는 OpenAI가 일반 대중이 접근할 수 있다고 명확히 정의하고 공개적으로 발표했거나, 그렇지 않으면 공개적으로 접근 가능하며 회사 공식 웹사이트 내에서 명시적으로 라벨링되어야 합니다. 웹사이트에 표시된 라벨링 오류, 자리 표시자 텍스트 또는 실제로 일반 대중이 접근할 수 있는 모델에 해당하지 않는 버전 이름은 인정되지 않습니다.\n\n이 시장의 주요 결정 출처는 OpenAI의 공식 정보이며, 신뢰할 수 있는 보도 기관의 합의도 함께 사용됩니다.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.1205,"noProbability":0.8795,"change1h":0.0015,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1564.6362069999998,"volume24h":1564.636207,"liquidity":2964.56123,"endDate":"2026-09-02T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"59808640131133105478466078426096002634559072080515918484293133025781775210830","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T11:59:33.356148Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:15.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.2995},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.2745},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:57:13.000Z","probability":0.1205}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"4060942","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 3일","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-3-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"OpenAI의 Astra 모델이 2026년 9월 3일에 출시될까?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.649,"noProbability":0.351,"change1h":0.079,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":3112.21929,"volume24h":3032.2192900000005,"liquidity":3187.59578,"endDate":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"76416736003747818109879346306324860384618302551226278380421590599599838342057","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":true},{"id":"4060941","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 2일 또는 그 이전","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-2-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"OpenAI의 Astra 모델이 2026년 9월 2일 또는 그 이전에 출시될까?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on or prior to September 2, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.1205,"noProbability":0.8795,"change1h":0.0015,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1564.636207,"volume24h":1564.636207,"liquidity":2926.50888,"endDate":"2026-09-02T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"59808640131133105478466078426096002634559072080515918484293133025781775210830","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":true},{"id":"4060943","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 4일","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-4-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"OpenAI의 Astra 모델이 2026년 9월 4일에 출시될까?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.101,"noProbability":0.899,"change1h":-0.0395,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1116.64425,"volume24h":1116.64425,"liquidity":3687.39768,"endDate":"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"96413546966330134196909132513275220087587194221800703127256598585240061406455","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":true},{"id":"4060963","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 24일","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-24-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"OpenAI의 Astra 모델이 2026년 9월 24일에 출시될까?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 24, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.049,"noProbability":0.951,"change1h":-0.0025,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1780.317674,"volume24h":1780.317674,"liquidity":3522.38231,"endDate":"2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"82637908406424017023027586171024731826161141711853638106122121778567713293515","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":true},{"id":"4060970","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI의 Astra 출시일은?","optionLabel":"9월 30일까지 출시 없음","slug":"will-there-be-no-openai-astra-model-release-by-september-30-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 30일까지 OpenAI Astra 모델이 출시되지 않을까?","originalTitle":"Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.045,"noProbability":0.955,"change1h":-0.01,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1348.5285090000002,"volume24h":1238.957109,"liquidity":4085.3355,"endDate":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"24982062897557301443512861808450806303585695176568566066322377618202767460876","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":true},{"id":"4060960","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 21","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-21-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 21, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 21, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0255,"noProbability":0.9745,"change1h":-0.0405,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1015.0101,"volume24h":1015.0101,"liquidity":4233.14687,"endDate":"2026-09-21T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"6136719736899894331848394179924006715484763932421560980498191355954048360557","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060947","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 8","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-8-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0205,"noProbability":0.9795,"change1h":-0.0085,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":520.0101,"volume24h":520.0101,"liquidity":4422.15014,"endDate":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"33483588623853973549034634209460290828184235329809355972688324335415434878656","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060948","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 9","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-9-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0185,"noProbability":0.9815,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":520.0101,"volume24h":520.0101,"liquidity":4483.67506,"endDate":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"114851652402144068562631154301571804901294468979376836401903040244820684596014","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060949","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 10","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-10-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 10, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 10, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0185,"noProbability":0.9815,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":440.0101,"volume24h":440.01009999999997,"liquidity":4177.17148,"endDate":"2026-09-10T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"27906009707728918943413522664623033148068354244707792028118093450245055789316","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060956","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 17","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-17-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 17, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 17, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.016,"noProbability":0.984,"change1h":-0.0215,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":855.0101,"volume24h":855.0101,"liquidity":4019.48103,"endDate":"2026-09-17T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"50781588260026474100576185535262604917180626576874303953367099003034592115469","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060954","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 15","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-15-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0155,"noProbability":0.9845,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1184.964835,"volume24h":1184.964835,"liquidity":4221.03032,"endDate":"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"100605610760710308397115035869228270583417746732230213903591723343379602043515","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060944","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 5","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-5-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0115,"noProbability":0.9885,"change1h":-0.015,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":687.6623219999999,"volume24h":687.662322,"liquidity":13525.83271,"endDate":"2026-09-05T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"53761367449665157936048066110971922675113994222426813739965807937816560695339","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060945","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 6","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-6-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0105,"noProbability":0.9895,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":606.5890469999999,"volume24h":606.589047,"liquidity":4026.3056,"endDate":"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"1081322525891663065685857602195229063279271498513817546738089748980034402506","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060966","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 27","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-27-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 27, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 27, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.01,"noProbability":0.99,"change1h":-0.0005,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1432.870536,"volume24h":1432.870536,"liquidity":4805.45628,"endDate":"2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"36177584714885528636840591884797018614432823548205065889310912740286165298982","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060962","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 23","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-23-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 23, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 23, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0095,"noProbability":0.9905,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":712.0101,"volume24h":712.0101,"liquidity":4250.21162,"endDate":"2026-09-23T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"75151069074001118533344810070158966070255723321164636668734032864995954827355","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060965","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 26","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-26-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 26, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 26, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0095,"noProbability":0.9905,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":712.0101,"volume24h":712.0101,"liquidity":4390.62776,"endDate":"2026-09-26T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"47603585207626924494558845423924394968632662396722843223014655868554054128673","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060952","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 13","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-13-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 13, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 13, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0055,"noProbability":0.9945,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":793.9701,"volume24h":793.9701,"liquidity":4094.38859,"endDate":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"36882694315522380223109263223289673865911491168334449110174499581405751279558","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060953","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 14","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-14-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 14, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 14, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0055,"noProbability":0.9945,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":766.0500999999999,"volume24h":766.0501,"liquidity":4095.901,"endDate":"2026-09-14T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"86751387424056916368349115509778676283136384118274224225243742794111201659925","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060969","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 30","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-30-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 30, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 30, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.0055,"noProbability":0.9945,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":765.0101,"volume24h":765.0101,"liquidity":4289.83655,"endDate":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"97556702614577048514182608191332359516047159168046202689407999832032941850408","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060946","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 7","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.005,"noProbability":0.995,"change1h":-0.0185,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":660.0101,"volume24h":660.0101,"liquidity":1450.92372,"endDate":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"57300894696096438479860440101285677136668051917873158432635098496436662202069","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060950","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 11","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-11-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.005,"noProbability":0.995,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":733.0101,"volume24h":733.0101,"liquidity":4094.01221,"endDate":"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"34031216348279051571264552148604004375736606028604767367451984070498927156417","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060951","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 12","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-12-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 12, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 12, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.005,"noProbability":0.995,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":733.0101,"volume24h":733.0101,"liquidity":4098.95088,"endDate":"2026-09-12T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"13333846981915791132296678875009318332354653701403473496561908289361330058004","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060955","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 16","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-16-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 16, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 16, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.005,"noProbability":0.995,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":855.0101,"volume24h":855.0101,"liquidity":4088.56163,"endDate":"2026-09-16T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"113076898366796537449760670406733446253115595808358236672599014298336900280262","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false},{"id":"4060957","eventId":"948075","eventTitle":"OpenAI's Astra released on...?","optionLabel":"September 18","slug":"will-openais-astra-model-be-released-on-september-18-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","title":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 18, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 18, 2026?","description":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed \"Astra,\" describing an internal version of Astra as its \"next major model.\" You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's \"Astra\" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Astra\" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.\n\nFor this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","gpt","Tech","Astra","OpenAI","sam altman","AI Releases"],"status":"open","probability":0.005,"noProbability":0.995,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":755.0101,"volume24h":755.0101,"liquidity":4102.72007,"endDate":"2026-09-18T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"76435958202757630269235643638976799795498924108806886114997758443081648778883","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T12:01:35.05538Z","translated":false}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"4060942","label":"9월 3일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.3795},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.438},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:41.000Z","probability":0.649},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:02:13.000Z","probability":0.621}]},{"marketId":"4060941","label":"9월 2일 또는 그 이전","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:15.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.2995},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.2745},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:35.000Z","probability":0.1205},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:02:13.000Z","probability":0.1205}]},{"marketId":"4060943","label":"9월 4일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:22.000Z","probability":0.21},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.021},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:45.000Z","probability":0.101},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:02:14.000Z","probability":0.101}]},{"marketId":"4060963","label":"9월 24일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.017},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:40.000Z","probability":0.049},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:02:13.000Z","probability":0.049}]},{"marketId":"4060970","label":"9월 30일까지 출시 없음","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.37},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:43.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:02:14.000Z","probability":0.045}]}]}}