{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T16:42:31.166Z","range":"max","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"1469742","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Massoud Rajavi","slug":"will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":399831.37844799994,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":92254.48178,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"56971265181777963578812042298810798590085894462476928769356591220479741711867","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:26:33.096189Z","translated":false,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-03-02T00:00:56.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-03-03T00:00:51.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-03-04T00:00:51.000Z","probability":0.005},{"timestamp":"2026-03-05T00:00:48.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-06T00:00:47.000Z","probability":0.0035},{"timestamp":"2026-03-07T00:00:51.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-03-08T00:00:42.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-03-09T00:00:38.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-10T00:00:45.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-11T00:00:49.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-12T00:00:51.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-14T00:00:41.000Z","probability":0.004},{"timestamp":"2026-03-15T00:00:44.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-16T00:00:54.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-17T00:00:36.000Z","probability":0.0055},{"timestamp":"2026-03-18T00:00:37.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-03-19T00:00:47.000Z","probability":0.0035},{"timestamp":"2026-03-20T00:00:41.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-03-21T00:00:40.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-22T00:00:37.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-23T00:00:31.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-03-24T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-25T00:00:30.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-26T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-27T00:00:30.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-28T00:00:32.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-29T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-30T00:00:46.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-03-31T00:00:42.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-01T00:00:52.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-02T00:00:46.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-03T00:00:54.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-04T00:00:49.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-06T00:00:52.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-07T00:00:48.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-08T00:00:57.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-09T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-10T00:00:54.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-11T00:00:52.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-13T00:00:46.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-15T00:00:48.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-16T00:00:52.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-17T00:00:53.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-19T00:00:42.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-20T00:00:44.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-21T00:00:49.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-23T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-24T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-25T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-26T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-27T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-04-28T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0035},{"timestamp":"2026-04-29T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.0055},{"timestamp":"2026-04-30T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.0065},{"timestamp":"2026-05-01T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0035},{"timestamp":"2026-05-02T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0035},{"timestamp":"2026-05-03T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-04T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-05T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-06T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-07T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-08T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-09T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-05-10T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.0055},{"timestamp":"2026-05-11T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-05-12T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-05-13T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.0045},{"timestamp":"2026-05-14T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.003},{"timestamp":"2026-05-15T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.005},{"timestamp":"2026-05-16T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0055},{"timestamp":"2026-05-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-05-18T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.006},{"timestamp":"2026-05-19T00:00:05.000Z","probab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leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Mojtaba Khamenei","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.829,"noProbability":0.171,"change1h":0.0015,"change24h":0.0035,"change1w":0.023,"change1m":-0.0145,"volume":6357734.842067998,"volume24h":47913.421072,"liquidity":93659.21711,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469734","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"No Head of State","slug":"will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0495,"noProbability":0.9505,"change1h":0.0005,"change24h":0.0025,"change1w":0.005,"change1m":0.018,"volume":1156355.012262,"volume24h":211.70560099999997,"liquidity":71578.90322,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"46737595588538785221040143451401435150985932684129375912985868128718669274118","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469739","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Reza Pahlavi","slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.034,"noProbability":0.966,"change1h":0.0005,"change24h":0.0005,"change1w":0.002,"change1m":0.0035,"volume":676812.7175939997,"volume24h":82.84000000000002,"liquidity":154763.24972,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"59405816357054997632711068734450950071946240481171324713469217993570263323448","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469754","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Mahmoud Ahmadinejad","slug":"will-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0165,"noProbability":0.9835,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":0.0025,"change1m":0.015,"volume":1127022.7178500001,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":61145.29387,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"89974685609098808755854367630091386804795305974823550976721901844367211884750","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469758","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Alireza Arafi","slug":"will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0115,"noProbability":0.9885,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.001,"change1w":-0.005,"change1m":-0.021,"volume":2316070.882984999,"volume24h":615.61,"liquidity":71316.33941,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"15594570557513531332355721053640294921906723255866000443375970665853038805455","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469761","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Ahmad Vahidi","slug":"will-ahmad-vahidi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0075,"noProbability":0.9925,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":0.0005,"change1m":0.002,"volume":778577.5975619999,"volume24h":19.086824,"liquidity":62330.51295,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"99905031937106043004009334316168691842792046453114591553414680055448222496195","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469753","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Hassan Rouhani","slug":"will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.007,"noProbability":0.993,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.0005,"change1w":-0.0005,"change1m":0.0025,"volume":944950.6587320002,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":77093.68498,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"104793441501237301362687704882442614671827167665311941358943027509381456411382","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469751","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Masoud Pezeshkian","slug":"will-masoud-pezeshkian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.006,"noProbability":0.994,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.0005,"change1w":null,"change1m":0.0025,"volume":1020635.834123,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":65720.83322,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"28152633830811377282265546570547229637532772761293435321097240605763179025584","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469738","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Hassan Khomeini","slug":"will-hassan-khomeini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0055,"noProbability":0.9945,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.0005,"change1w":-0.0005,"change1m":null,"volume":1432609.8017560004,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":73377.31572,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"94891603619000614838396398392241438239423861380143937686380744345512277527835","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469760","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Abbas Araghchi","slug":"will-abbas-araghchi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.004,"noProbability":0.996,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":-0.0005,"volume":833742.660546,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":78245.8166,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"32471272226653114342524958169714392759250636898783637114937850399512347168929","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469736","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Sadegh Larijani","slug":"will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0025,"noProbability":0.9975,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":0.0005,"change1m":null,"volume":542944.371412,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":81467.11182,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"80038948246057435452897416216173694344062585728123332884583478660265203019538","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469740","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Hassan Shariatmadari","slug":"will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":3148480.001788,"volume24h":40.859,"liquidity":83331.84726,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"98467866849121962679941492304871725691205424493767395840761628615935723998068","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469741","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Maryam Rajavi","slug":"will-maryam-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":807422.061058,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":94707.87123,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"29840218012450730421701561987120347460939513970096057739135420319161086074616","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469742","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Massoud Rajavi","slug":"will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":399831.37844799994,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":92586.82048,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"56971265181777963578812042298810798590085894462476928769356591220479741711867","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469743","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Seyed Hossein Mousavian","slug":"will-seyed-hossein-mousavian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":3694959.298215,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":81346.41682,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"1749783288752028807000057037501981427623647539189525525672407220986693234010","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469744","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Reza Pirzadeh","slug":"will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":147448.817867,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":77550.29466,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"104614758662420747313073035120189350685905006856660091274916864977263789265748","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469745","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Navid Shomali","slug":"will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":216293.47028,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":98866.85964,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"46373213137293788112181228002429040064369414686676918362214297114372925163034","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469746","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Mustafa Hijri","slug":"will-mustafa-hijri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":202458.379108,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":80782.81175,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"8691554581189050520609716782476894555656560789255516419648101944114004629454","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469747","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Ali Motahari","slug":"will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":837364.171106,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":74211.92708,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"103560181776690453897548183075617798232415038848160877980735257504087333467563","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469748","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel","slug":"will-gholam-ali-haddad-adel-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":436814.8069700001,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":81666.41233,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"36315446430052875158265155114292504377243100379012534035767597435000143198228","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469750","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Sadegh Mahsouli","slug":"will-sadegh-mahsouli-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":241129.66370999996,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":84222.63516,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"2291432042866934809566516429320863056950008758751352252417881188133670041393","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469752","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Saeed Jalili","slug":"will-saeed-jalili-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":393272.36365500005,"volume24h":2724.88,"liquidity":89466.55462,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"40839296607100054992696453096649835441756766770237220555851470774948085973723","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469762","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Mohsen Araki","slug":"will-mohsen-araki-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":286922.51090500003,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":63270.34969,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"98133824944789178924459163812670671760087066026910035356833855072816773720426","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false},{"id":"1469763","eventId":"237598","eventTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?","optionLabel":"Nasir Hosseini","slug":"will-nasir-hosseini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","title":"Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","originalTitle":"Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","category":"politics","tags":["Middle East","Iran","World","Geopolitics","Politics","Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":257144.08555699998,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":76283.7928,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"70312008280418347600283446702951443475100958841154906023028886501765401786137","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T13:28:32.263215Z","translated":false}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"1469737","label":"Mojtaba 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