{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T09:56:30.976Z","range":"1m","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"3764761","eventId":"886309","eventTitle":"2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델","optionLabel":"claude-opus-5-max","slug":"will-claude-opus-5-max-be-the-best-ai-model-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","title":"claude-opus-5-max가 2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델이 될까?","originalTitle":"Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?","description":"이 시장은 지정된 날짜인 2026년 9월 7일 오후 12시(동부 표준시)에 arena.ai 텍스트 아레나(Text Arena) (전체) 리더보드 탭의 표를 확인했을 때, 가장 높은 아레나 순위를 기록한 모델을 기준으로 해결됩니다.\n\n해결에는 https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control 의 \"Text Arena | Overall\" 리더보드 탭에서 스타일 제어를 끈 상태(Adjustments: 없음)로, \"Models\" 필터를 적용했을 때 나타나는 \"Rank\" 열의 결과가 사용됩니다.\n\n참고: 확인 시점에 \"AutoEval\"으로 표시된 모델은 순위나 점수를 표시하더라도 고려되지 않습니다.\n\n시장 생성 후에는 새로운 모델이 이 시장에 추가되지 않습니다. 이 시장에 명시적으로 나열되지 않은 모든 모델은 \"기타(Other)\" 옵션에 포함됩니다.\n\n모델들은 시장 확인 시점의 리더보드 순위를 기준으로 우선 정렬됩니다. 두 개 이상의 모델이 순위에서 동률일 경우, 아레나 점수(리더보드 아래 데이터에 반영된 모든 기본 미가공 세부 값 포함)로 정렬됩니다. 그래도 동률이 유지될 경우, 이 시장 그룹에 나열된 모델 이름의 알파벳 순서(전체 문자열 기준, \"-high\" 및 \"-max\"와 같은 접미사 포함)를 최종 타이브레이커로 사용합니다(예: 두 모델이 여전히 동률일 경우 \"claude-opus-5-high\"가 \"claude-opus-5-max\"보다 앞에 랭크됨). 이 시장은 이 순서에 따라 가장 앞에 오는 모델로 해결됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 해결 출처는 arena.ai 텍스트 아레나(Text Arena) (전체)입니다. 확인 시점에 이 해결 출처가 이용 불가능한 경우, 리더보드가 다시 온라인 상태가 될 때까지 시장이 열려 있으며 이용 가능해진 후 첫 번째 확인을 기준으로 해결됩니다. 영구적으로 이용 불가능해질 경우, 이 시장은 \"기타(Other)\"로 해결됩니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","category":"ai","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.515,"noProbability":0.485,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.015,"change1w":0.17,"change1m":null,"volume":10758.647269000001,"volume24h":3042.209078,"liquidity":756.1478,"endDate":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"78641259672332323175848073468326252380099464337737156358554838213652036921547","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:52:22.98026Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.25},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.335},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.285},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.33},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.335},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.34},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T18:00:15.000Z","probability":0.3},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.405},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T12:00:19.000Z","probability":0.365},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.29},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T06:00:22.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.365},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.345},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T06:00:19.000Z","probability":0.345},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T12:00:22.000Z","probability":0.345},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.46},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.335},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.3},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T12:00:36.000Z","probability":0.3},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T06:00:31.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T12:00:20.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.62},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.69},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T06:00:13.000Z","probability":0.71},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.775},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T18:00:15.000Z","probability":0.775},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.705},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T12:00:22.000Z","probability":0.715},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T18:00:17.000Z","probability":0.725},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:32.000Z","probability":0.51},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T06:00:19.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:00:22.000Z","probability":0.505},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.415},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.585},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.52},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:56:13.000Z","probability":0.505}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"3764761","eventId":"886309","eventTitle":"2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델","optionLabel":"claude-opus-5-max","slug":"will-claude-opus-5-max-be-the-best-ai-model-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","title":"claude-opus-5-max가 2026년 9월 7일에 최고의 AI 모델일까요?","originalTitle":"Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","originalDescription":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","AI Rankings"],"status":"open","probability":0.505,"noProbability":0.495,"change1h":-0.01,"change24h":0.005,"change1w":0.16,"change1m":null,"volume":10758.647269000001,"volume24h":3042.209078,"liquidity":524.3628,"endDate":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"78641259672332323175848073468326252380099464337737156358554838213652036921547","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:54:22.740179Z","translated":true},{"id":"3764763","eventId":"886309","eventTitle":"2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델","optionLabel":"다른 국가","slug":"will-any-other-model-be-the-best-ai-model-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 7일에 다른 모델이 최고의 AI 모델이 될까?","originalTitle":"Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","originalDescription":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","AI Rankings"],"status":"open","probability":0.4685,"noProbability":0.5315,"change1h":0.002,"change24h":0.062,"change1w":0.3475,"change1m":null,"volume":17002.485711,"volume24h":8633.948477,"liquidity":1880.51357,"endDate":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"59494667927092889141983114230222184702063367102548661286577998548174802050873","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:54:22.740179Z","translated":true},{"id":"3764760","eventId":"886309","eventTitle":"2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델","optionLabel":"claude-opus-5-high","slug":"will-claude-opus-5-high-be-the-best-ai-model-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 7일에 claude-opus-5-high가 최고의 AI 모델이 될까?","originalTitle":"Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","originalDescription":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","AI Rankings"],"status":"open","probability":0.0405,"noProbability":0.9595,"change1h":0.0045,"change24h":-0.012,"change1w":-0.4945,"change1m":null,"volume":6739.156144,"volume24h":1294.811667,"liquidity":2269.23853,"endDate":"2026-09-07T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"63340800724251354737152335718184581441371009013347125659552070896033887466665","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T09:54:22.740179Z","translated":true},{"id":"3764762","eventId":"886309","eventTitle":"2026년 9월 7일 최고의 AI 모델","optionLabel":"claude-opus-4-6-high","slug":"will-claude-opus-4-6-high-be-the-best-ai-model-on-september-7-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 7일에 claude-opus-4-6-high가 최고의 AI 모델이 될까?","originalTitle":"Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","originalDescription":"This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","AI 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