{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T18:27:11.858Z","range":"1w","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"1633606","eventId":"281143","eventTitle":"Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-china-invade-taiwan-by-september-30-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-invades-taiwan-in-2025-CCSd9dX2mrea.jpg","title":"Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be 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China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"will-china-invade-taiwan-by-september-30-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-invades-taiwan-in-2025-CCSd9dX2mrea.jpg","title":"Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","originalTitle":"Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","category":"politics","tags":["China","Politics","Geopolitics","World"],"status":"open","probability":0.0075,"noProbability":0.9925,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.0005,"change1m":-0.0055,"volume":2061861.623338,"volume24h":5152.301939,"liquidity":124060.38675,"endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"11630502333603507010260051963632226548966933278788158525182753385940719742668","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T18:04:35.281834Z","translated":false}],"eventHistory":[]}}