{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T20:03:02.467Z","range":"max","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"2479348","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2026년 9월 30일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-september-30","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"Tesla와 SpaceX의 합병이 9월 30일까지 공식 발표될까?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?","description":"이 시장은 2026년 9월 30일 오후 11시 59분(동부 표준시)까지 Tesla, Inc.가 SpaceX에 인수되거나 합병되거나, 그 반대의 경우가 공식 발표될 경우 \"Yes\"로 결정됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 \"No\"로 결정됩니다.\n\n이 시장의 기간 내에 Tesla 또는 SpaceX가 발표하는 내용은 실제 인수/합병이 언제, 혹은 실제로 발생했는지와 관계없이 \"Yes\" 결정 조건을 충족합니다.\n\n부분 매각 발표도 인수 기업이 상대 회사의 지배 지분을 확보하는 경우 인정될 수 있습니다. \"지배 지분\"이란 회사의 전략적 결정을 통제할 수 있을 정도의 소유권 변경을 의미하며(일반적으로 지분 50% 초과 또는 의결권 및 지배권을 통한 동등한 통제), 지배 지분의 이전을 초래하지 않는 거래나 투자는 인정되지 않습니다.\n\n이 시장의 주요 결정 출처는 Tesla 또는 SpaceX의 공식 정보이며, 신뢰할 수 있는 보도들의 합의도 사용될 수 있습니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.0505,"noProbability":0.9495,"change1h":-0.0005,"change24h":0.005,"change1w":0.007,"change1m":-0.0005,"volume":353064.29646,"volume24h":864.5699999999999,"liquidity":23535.20784,"endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"48029449843945686586979008658948178079028449323933797256276105854273081505855","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:46:34.813798Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-06-10T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.39},{"timestamp":"2026-06-11T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-06-12T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-06-13T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-14T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-15T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-16T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.19},{"timestamp":"2026-06-17T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-06-18T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-19T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-06-20T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.26},{"timestamp":"2026-06-21T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-06-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-23T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-24T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-06-25T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-26T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-27T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-28T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-29T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-30T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-07-01T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-02T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-03T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-04T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-05T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-06T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-07T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-08T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-09T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-10T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-11T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-12T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-13T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-14T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-15T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-16T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-17T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-18T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-19T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-20T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-21T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-07-23T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-24T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-29T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.085},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.035},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.024},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0465},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.041},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0415},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0515},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.0565},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.053},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.07},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0665},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.063},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.0625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.066},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.066},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.0635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.059},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0565},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0445},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.0435},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.046},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:13.000Z","probability":0.0505}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"3585430","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2027년 12월 31일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병이 2027년 12월 31일까지 공식 발표될까?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.465,"noProbability":0.535,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":0.03,"change1m":null,"volume":15445.52751,"volume24h":42.357658,"liquidity":3669.7947,"endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"108138125495806962416231121099670266672790166921750582313787014969635975847592","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true},{"id":"3585432","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2027년 6월 30일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병이 2027년 6월 30일까지 공식 발표될까?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.305,"noProbability":0.695,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.01,"change1m":null,"volume":4592.985365,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":4645.4015,"endDate":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"97993157528042721726853253346196174330986354557287106653896852893323543480072","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true},{"id":"3585431","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2027년 2월 28일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-february-28-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병이 2027년 2월 28일까지 공식 발표될까?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.23,"noProbability":0.77,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":0.005,"change1m":null,"volume":943.70775,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":5398.5825,"endDate":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"92665346553485129648444851493722237317432823505802074242836590350713974513233","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true},{"id":"3585429","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2027년 1월 31일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-january-31-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병이 2027년 1월 31일까지 공식 발표될까?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.215,"noProbability":0.785,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":1371.2443780000003,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":6678.2958,"endDate":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"57382591449144984923528298060764506035156609570971253096896047744168942224941","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true},{"id":"2252540","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2026년 12월 31일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, 12월 31일까지 공식 발표?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.175,"noProbability":0.825,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.01,"change1w":-0.01,"change1m":null,"volume":138266.68865899992,"volume24h":2272.71,"liquidity":26792.6326,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"54008746047030401937229622392846672148881831664328316511258982815120785809185","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true},{"id":"2479348","eventId":"192962","eventTitle":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, ...까지 공식 발표?","optionLabel":"2026년 9월 30일","slug":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-september-30","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-iEcHeObGGIJl.jpg","title":"테슬라와 스페이스X 합병, 9월 30일까지 공식 발표?","originalTitle":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","category":"science","tags":["Tesla","Elon Musk","SpaceX","Big Tech","Space","Tech"],"status":"open","probability":0.0505,"noProbability":0.9495,"change1h":-0.0005,"change24h":0.005,"change1w":0.007,"change1m":-0.0005,"volume":353064.29646,"volume24h":864.5699999999999,"liquidity":22646.60784,"endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"48029449843945686586979008658948178079028449323933797256276105854273081505855","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T19:48:37.061018Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"3585430","label":"2027년 12월 31일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.565},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.365},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.395},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.435},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.435},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.445},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.455},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.465},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:14.000Z","probability":0.465}]},{"marketId":"3585432","label":"2027년 6월 30일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.32},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.32},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.295},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.31},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.31},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.32},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.31},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:30.000Z","probability":0.305},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.31},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:14.000Z","probability":0.305}]},{"marketId":"3585431","label":"2027년 2월 28일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:32.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.22},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.22},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:34.000Z","probability":0.23},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.23},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:15.000Z","probability":0.23}]},{"marketId":"3585429","label":"2027년 1월 31일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.205},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:15.000Z","probability":0.215}]},{"marketId":"2252540","label":"2026년 12월 31일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-05-14T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.42},{"timestamp":"2026-05-15T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.495},{"timestamp":"2026-05-16T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.515},{"timestamp":"2026-05-17T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-05-18T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.16},{"timestamp":"2026-05-19T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-05-20T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.16},{"timestamp":"2026-05-21T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-05-22T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-05-23T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-05-24T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-05-25T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-05-26T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.38},{"timestamp":"2026-05-27T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.335},{"timestamp":"2026-05-28T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.355},{"timestamp":"2026-05-29T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.43},{"timestamp":"2026-05-30T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-05-31T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.315},{"timestamp":"2026-06-01T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.4},{"timestamp":"2026-06-02T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.345},{"timestamp":"2026-06-03T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.37},{"timestamp":"2026-06-04T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.41},{"timestamp":"2026-06-05T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.415},{"timestamp":"2026-06-06T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.43},{"timestamp":"2026-06-07T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.425},{"timestamp":"2026-06-08T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.425},{"timestamp":"2026-06-09T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.41},{"timestamp":"2026-06-10T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-06-11T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-06-12T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-06-13T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.365},{"timestamp":"2026-06-14T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.355},{"timestamp":"2026-06-15T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.365},{"timestamp":"2026-06-16T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-06-17T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-06-18T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.33},{"timestamp":"2026-06-19T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.35},{"timestamp":"2026-06-20T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.37},{"timestamp":"2026-06-21T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-06-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.37},{"timestamp":"2026-06-23T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-06-24T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.395},{"timestamp":"2026-06-25T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.375},{"timestamp":"2026-06-26T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.39},{"timestamp":"2026-06-27T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-06-28T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-06-29T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.39},{"timestamp":"2026-06-30T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.335},{"timestamp":"2026-07-01T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.325},{"timestamp":"2026-07-02T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-07-03T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-04T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.25},{"timestamp":"2026-07-05T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-06T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.25},{"timestamp":"2026-07-07T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-08T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.24},{"timestamp":"2026-07-09T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.25},{"timestamp":"2026-07-10T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-11T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-12T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-13T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-14T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-15T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-07-16T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.24},{"timestamp":"2026-07-17T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.23},{"timestamp":"2026-07-18T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-07-19T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.23},{"timestamp":"2026-07-20T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-07-21T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-07-22T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-07-23T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-07-24T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.19},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-07-29T00:00:49.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.195},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.19},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:14.000Z","probability":0.175}]},{"marketId":"2479348","label":"September 30, 2026","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-06-10T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.39},{"timestamp":"2026-06-11T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.385},{"timestamp":"2026-06-12T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.215},{"timestamp":"2026-06-13T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-14T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-15T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-06-16T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.19},{"timestamp":"2026-06-17T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.185},{"timestamp":"2026-06-18T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-19T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.225},{"timestamp":"2026-06-20T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.26},{"timestamp":"2026-06-21T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-06-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-23T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-24T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.255},{"timestamp":"2026-06-25T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.245},{"timestamp":"2026-06-26T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-27T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-28T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-29T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.275},{"timestamp":"2026-06-30T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.135},{"timestamp":"2026-07-01T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-02T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-03T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-04T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-05T00:00:03.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-06T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-07T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-08T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-09T00:00:08.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-10T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-11T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-12T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-13T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-14T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-15T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-16T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-17T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-18T00:00:04.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-19T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-20T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-21T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-07-22T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.155},{"timestamp":"2026-07-23T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-24T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-25T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-26T00:00:06.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-27T00:00:05.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-28T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-07-29T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.085},{"timestamp":"2026-07-30T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.035},{"timestamp":"2026-07-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.024},{"timestamp":"2026-08-01T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0465},{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.041},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0415},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0515},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:07.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:09.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.0565},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.053},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.07},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0665},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.063},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.0625},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.066},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.066},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:11.000Z","probability":0.0635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.059},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0565},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0445},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.0435},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:13.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.042},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.0535},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.046},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:51:13.000Z","probability":0.0505}]}]}}