{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T14:32:21.782Z","range":"1m","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"1060714","eventId":"131764","eventTitle":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","optionLabel":null,"slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","originalTitle":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.815,"noProbability":0.185,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.02,"change1w":-0.005,"change1m":0.04,"volume":764081.9385669996,"volume24h":13223.197428,"liquidity":46122.0258,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T14:30:37.169896Z","translated":false,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-02T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.785},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-03T18:00:11.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.775},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T06:00:28.000Z","probability":0.775},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T12:00:12.000Z","probability":0.78},{"timestamp":"2026-08-04T18:00:11.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T06:00:23.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T12:00:15.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-05T18:00:25.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T12:00:20.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-06T18:00:11.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T00:00:14.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.8},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T12:00:16.000Z","probability":0.8},{"timestamp":"2026-08-07T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.8},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T06:00:13.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T12:00:42.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-08T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T06:00:22.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T12:00:16.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-09T18:00:25.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T06:00:11.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T12:00:14.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-10T18:00:13.000Z","probability":0.8},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.8},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T12:00:11.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-11T18:00:12.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T00:00:15.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T06:00:12.000Z","probability":0.805},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-12T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.795},{"timestamp":"2026-08-13T18:00:24.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T06:00:19.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-14T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T12:00:23.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T06:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T12:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T06:00:22.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T12:00:22.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T18:00:25.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T18:00:14.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T06:00:20.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T12:00:25.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T18:00:17.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T12:00:22.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T06:00:25.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T12:00:25.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T18:00:22.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T06:00:21.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.82},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T12:00:39.000Z","probability":0.86},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T06:00:34.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T18:00:22.000Z","probability":0.855},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T06:00:20.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T12:00:25.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.855},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.845},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.845},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.845},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:36.000Z","probability":0.835},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T06:00:21.000Z","probability":0.835},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.835},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.835},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.825},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:43.000Z","probability":0.815},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:32:14.000Z","probability":0.815}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"1060714","eventId":"131764","eventTitle":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","optionLabel":null,"slug":"nothing-ever-happens-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","originalTitle":"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Trump out as President\n- China invades Taiwan\n- Xi Jinping out\n- U.S. invades Iran\n- Iranian regime falls\n- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’\n- Jeffrey Epstein alive\n- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate\n- Russia invades a NATO country\n- Trump acquires Greenland\n- 9.0 or above earthquake\n- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)\n- Major meteor strike (250kt+)\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf","category":"politics","tags":["20 (50) daily","Parlays","World","Geopolitics","Politics"],"status":"open","probability":0.815,"noProbability":0.185,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.02,"change1w":-0.005,"change1m":0.04,"volume":764081.9385669996,"volume24h":13223.197428,"liquidity":46122.0258,"endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T14:30:37.169896Z","translated":false}],"eventHistory":[]}}