{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T21:00:19.374Z","range":"max","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"3668685","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"10월 31일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-october-31-2026-791-823-829-591-194-952","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"2026년 10월 31일까지 차세대 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+) 출시 여부?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?","description":"이 시장은 시장 생성 시점부터 지정된 날짜(동부 표준시 기준)까지 Google의 차세대 Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 일반 대중에게 공개되면 \"Yes\"로 결정됩니다. 그렇지 않으면 \"No\"로 결정됩니다.\n\n적격 모델은 이름에 \"Gemini\"가 포함되어야 하며, \"Flash-Lite\"가 아닌 \"Flash\"로 표기되어야 하고, Google의 핵심 범용 Gemini Flash 모델로 포지셔닝되어야 하며, 버전 3.8 이상이어야 합니다. 대소문자 구분, 접두사, 접미사, 날짜, 설명자 등은 고려하지 않습니다. 예를 들어 Gemini 3.6 Flash 또는 Gemini 3.7 Flash와 동일한 방식으로 명명된 버전 3.8 이상 모델, Gemini 4 Flash와 같은 새로운 정수 세대 모델도 적격입니다. 반면 \"Flash-Lite\"로 표기된 모델이나 Gemini 3.7 Flash처럼 버전 번호가 3.8 미만인 모델(롤아웃, 프로모션, 스냅샷 포함)은 적격하지 않습니다. Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, Flash TTS, Live 모델 등 특정 모달리티 변형 모델도 적격하지 않습니다.\n\n적격 모델은 공개 베타 또는 공개 롤링 대기열 가입을 포함하여 출시되어 공개적으로 접근 가능해야 합니다. 클로즈드 베타나 비공개 접근은 충분하지 않습니다. 출시 사실은 Google이 일반 대중이 접근 가능하다고 공식 발표했거나, 그렇지 않으면 회사 공식 웹사이트에 공개적으로 접근 가능하며 명시적으로 표기되어 있어야 합니다. 웹사이트에 표시된 라벨링 오류, 자리 표시자 텍스트, 실제로 일반 대중이 접근할 수 없는 모델에 해당하는 버전 이름은 적격하지 않습니다.\n\n이 시장의 주요 결정 출처는 Google의 공식 정보이며, 신뢰할 수 있는 보도들의 합의를 통해 추가 검증됩니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"technology","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.013,"change1w":0.5495,"change1m":null,"volume":785.812332,"volume24h":570,"liquidity":31510.54215,"endDate":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"74509036177234417259271604412563307148832888783117509154317223046518731208817","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.755},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.495},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.715},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.69},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.445},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.69},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.95},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.961},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.947},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:39.000Z","probability":0.975},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.987},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:38:28.000Z","probability":0.9995}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"3592175","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 30일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-30-2026-363-567-326-964-142-583","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 30일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.0425,"change1w":0.5245,"change1m":null,"volume":9264.722569,"volume24h":4644.671322,"liquidity":25400.63761,"endDate":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"103794942100305126516347938718170880644609149991069169775035357642637341188066","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"3668684","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 15일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-15-2026-861-392-597-861-578-982","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 15일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.135,"change1w":0.4845,"change1m":null,"volume":13562.633555999997,"volume24h":4076.524602,"liquidity":14998.32246,"endDate":"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"48097475826248576524261833566429430261742884270927010405610727565969901762282","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"3668685","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"10월 31일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-october-31-2026-791-823-829-591-194-952","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 10월 31일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.013,"change1w":0.5495,"change1m":null,"volume":785.812332,"volume24h":570,"liquidity":31510.54215,"endDate":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"74509036177234417259271604412563307148832888783117509154317223046518731208817","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"4040180","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 2일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-2-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 2일까지 출시될까요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.3345,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":126740.981902,"volume24h":117633.58571800002,"liquidity":33650.27818,"endDate":"2026-09-02T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"54573156394017117853809752310710055798717605967684667896028376018413436357630","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"4040184","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 4일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-4-2026-215-226","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 4일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.2695,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":20825.094709000005,"volume24h":14372.278761,"liquidity":35463.77703,"endDate":"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"81492288911299480940457337499846083996817880187153559261260761681501590005675","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"4040186","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 9일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-9-2026-871","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 9일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.1645,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":4042.380455,"volume24h":1707.4360579999995,"liquidity":8631.21728,"endDate":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"43601663413730049473613420876571792991431022429242449201144072524117695729655","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"4040194","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 11일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-11-2026-684","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 11일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.1745,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":7098.680468,"volume24h":4849.661171,"liquidity":11415.47413,"endDate":"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"48726133656683261634494882366620169358806019812954844185517341222115493467710","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true},{"id":"4059551","eventId":"850741","eventTitle":"다음 구글 제미니 플래시 모델(3.8+) 출시 시기?","optionLabel":"9월 3일","slug":"next-google-gemini-flash-model-3pt8-released-by-september-3-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","title":"다음 Google Gemini Flash 모델(3.8+)이 2026년 9월 3일까지 출시되나요?","originalTitle":"Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 3, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes \"Gemini,\" be labeled \"Flash\" rather than \"Flash-Lite,\" be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled \"Flash-Lite\" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"ai","tags":["AI","Tech","Gemini","google","AI Releases","Gemini Flash"],"status":"open","probability":0.9995,"noProbability":0.0005,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.3095,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":14712.697606000002,"volume24h":14465.824571,"liquidity":17728.82234,"endDate":"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"54913113854400772084633129724686098633956943581678789596576408746854899040788","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:38:35.886047Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"3592175","label":"9월 30일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-15T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-16T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.675},{"timestamp":"2026-08-17T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.575},{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:33.000Z","probability":0.605},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.49},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.49},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.56},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.56},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.57},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.495},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.555},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.85},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.865},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.81},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.984},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.9905},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:40:16.000Z","probability":0.9995}]},{"marketId":"3668684","label":"9월 15일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:30.000Z","probability":0.51},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.49},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.495},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.415},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.425},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.515},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.505},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.515},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.67},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.725},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.74},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:32.000Z","probability":0.92},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.9645},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:40:14.000Z","probability":0.9995}]},{"marketId":"3668685","label":"10월 31일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-18T00:00:35.000Z","probability":0.755},{"timestamp":"2026-08-19T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.495},{"timestamp":"2026-08-20T00:00:29.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-21T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-22T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.61},{"timestamp":"2026-08-23T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.715},{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.69},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.635},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.445},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.69},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.95},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:27.000Z","probability":0.961},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.947},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:39.000Z","probability":0.975},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:26.000Z","probability":0.987},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:40:17.000Z","probability":0.9995}]},{"marketId":"4040180","label":"9월 2일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:12.000Z","probability":0.66},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:40:12.000Z","probability":0.9995}]},{"marketId":"4040184","label":"9월 4일","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:28.000Z","probability":0.7},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:16.000Z","probability":0.95},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:40:13.000Z","probability":0.9995}]}]}}