{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T21:10:08.749Z","range":"1m","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"3840177","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 15일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-15-2026-159-758","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 15일까지 이스라엘과 레바논 외교 회담 성사 여부?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?","description":"이 시장은 시장 개설 시점부터 명시된 날짜(2026년 9월 15일) 오후 11시 59분(동부 표준시)까지 이스라엘과 레바논 대표 간 외교 회담이 성사되면 \"Yes\"로, 그렇지 않으면 \"No\"로 판정됩니다.\n\n외교 회담이란 공식 자격으로 활동하며 자국 정부를 대표해 이스라엘-레바논 관계에 관한 협상 또는 외교 업무를 수행할 권한을 가진 양국 대표 간 의도적인 회의를 의미합니다. 지정된 중재자, 촉진자, 또는 관련 정부의 인지 및 승인 하에 활동하는 교섭자를 통한 간접적 회담도 인정됩니다.\n\n간단한 인사, 우연한 조우, 또는 외교나 협상을 의도적으로 목적으로 하지 않은 대화는 인정되지 않습니다.\n\n회담은 대면(간접 대면 포함)이어야 하며, 양국 정부 중 한쪽이 공개적으로 인정하거나 신뢰할 수 있는 언론의 합의된 보도가 있어야 합니다. 원격 회담, 전화 통화, 또는 관련 당사자가 직접 참석하지 않는 기타 회담은 인정되지 않습니다.\n\n이 시장의 판정 출처는 이스라엘 및 레바논 정부의 공식 정보와 신뢰할 수 있는 보도의 합의된 내용입니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.32,"noProbability":0.68,"change1h":0.005,"change24h":-0.16,"change1w":-0.44,"change1m":null,"volume":13512.064263,"volume24h":2835.5906459999997,"liquidity":7449.8809,"endDate":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"14029358367526899451786618330787791575214530059602976697420363158256983636689","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-24T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.655},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T06:00:25.000Z","probability":0.645},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T12:00:25.000Z","probability":0.615},{"timestamp":"2026-08-25T18:00:22.000Z","probability":0.715},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.715},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T06:00:21.000Z","probability":0.68},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.665},{"timestamp":"2026-08-26T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.765},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.765},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.865},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T12:00:39.000Z","probability":0.76},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.68},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.655},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T06:00:34.000Z","probability":0.655},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.57},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T18:00:23.000Z","probability":0.54},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.54},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T06:00:20.000Z","probability":0.535},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T12:00:25.000Z","probability":0.545},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.45},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.48},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.5},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T12:00:24.000Z","probability":0.655},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T18:00:18.000Z","probability":0.58},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.615},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.395},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.49},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.405},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:36.000Z","probability":0.38},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T06:00:21.000Z","probability":0.235},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:00:26.000Z","probability":0.22},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.36},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.595},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:43.000Z","probability":0.54},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.54},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T21:09:15.000Z","probability":0.32}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"3502067","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 30일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-30-2026-20260810145737301-824-184","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 30일까지 이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 열릴 것인가?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["Iran","Israel","Lebanon","Politics","Geopolitics","Israel x Iran"],"status":"open","probability":0.805,"noProbability":0.195,"change1h":0.025,"change24h":-0.015,"change1w":0.015,"change1m":null,"volume":43844.264155,"volume24h":9387.906427,"liquidity":29599.8106,"endDate":"2026-10-01T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"40992608742095516593469609640987236130377497877936724703049557017319001895233","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true},{"id":"3840177","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 15일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-15-2026-159-758","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 15일까지 이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 열릴 것인가?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["Iran","Israel","Lebanon","Politics","Geopolitics","Israel x Iran"],"status":"open","probability":0.32,"noProbability":0.68,"change1h":0.005,"change24h":-0.16,"change1w":-0.44,"change1m":null,"volume":13512.064263,"volume24h":2835.5906459999997,"liquidity":7449.8809,"endDate":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"14029358367526899451786618330787791575214530059602976697420363158256983636689","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true},{"id":"3953548","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 13일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-13-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 13일까지 이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 열릴 것인가?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["Iran","Israel","Lebanon","Politics","Geopolitics","Israel x Iran"],"status":"open","probability":0.12,"noProbability":0.88,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.02,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":5638.381080000001,"volume24h":925.0174579999999,"liquidity":13626.7837,"endDate":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"45431785698259821622224770188969061251540295566137045288082575998913795773735","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true},{"id":"3953546","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 11일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-11-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 11일까지 이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 열릴 것인가?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["Iran","Israel","Lebanon","Politics","Geopolitics","Israel x Iran"],"status":"open","probability":0.06,"noProbability":0.94,"change1h":null,"change24h":-0.02,"change1w":null,"change1m":null,"volume":3678.5514319999997,"volume24h":60.62,"liquidity":11804.3742,"endDate":"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"74397570787659596118122572994269845278451467661441455012951210156994462634569","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true},{"id":"3869756","eventId":"830269","eventTitle":"이스라엘 x 레바논 외교 회담이 ...까지 열릴 것인가?","optionLabel":"9월 9일","slug":"israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-september-9-2026","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-Pfq2bjvystKh.jpg","title":"2026년 9월 9일까지 이스라엘과 레바논 외교 회담이 열릴까?","originalTitle":"Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["Iran","Israel","Lebanon","Politics","Geopolitics","Israel x Iran"],"status":"open","probability":0.0435,"noProbability":0.9565,"change1h":-0.0005,"change24h":-0.0365,"change1w":-0.5865,"change1m":null,"volume":10014.882151,"volume24h":1353.74526,"liquidity":16325.64712,"endDate":"2026-09-10T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"64367603032894216566045687220170357670579890797901071187073553309329291983607","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T21:08:34.050288Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"3502067","label":"9월 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