{"exportedAt":"2026-09-03T01:42:28.263Z","range":"1w","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"687642","eventId":"83798","eventTitle":"2027년 이전 중국-일본 군사 충돌?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027-S3WQfSEVZxJ8.jpg","title":"중국과 일본, 2027년 이전 군사 충돌 발생 여부?","originalTitle":"China x Japan military clash before 2027?","description":"이 시장은 2025년 11월 17일부터 2026년 12월 31일 11:59 PM ET 사이에 중국(중화인민공화국)과 일본의 군사력 간 군사적 조우가 발생할 경우 \"Yes\"로 결정됩니다. 그렇지 않을 경우 \"No\"로 결정됩니다.\n\n\"군사적 조우\"란 미사일 공격, 포격, 총격 교환 또는 중국·일본 군사력 간 기타 형태의 직접적인 군사 교전 등 무력 사용이 수반되는 모든 사건을 의미합니다. 경고 사격, 무인 지역으로의 포격, 영해에 착탄하거나 영공을 통과하는 미사일 발사 등 비폭력적 행동은 \"Yes\" 결정 요건을 충족하지 않습니다. 다만, 군함에 중대한 손상(예: 선체 구멍)을 입히거나 침몰시키는 고의적인 선박 충돌은 \"Yes\" 결정 요건에 포함되지만, 경미한 손상(긁힘, 찌그러짐)은 포함되지 않습니다.\n\n참고: 중국 해경(CCG)은 군사력의 일부로 간주되나, 일본 해경(JCG)은 그렇지 않습니다.\n\n이 시장의 결정 출처는 신뢰할 수 있는 보도들의 합의가 됩니다.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.065,"noProbability":0.935,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.01,"change1m":-0.02,"volume":1325245.4081139998,"volume24h":4339.9696,"liquidity":77849.4885,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"24359841971256354562338291910316825498086150942929460621080163666720754945761","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T01:38:36.178759Z","translated":true,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T02:00:27.000Z","probability":0.08},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T03:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T04:00:16.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T05:00:14.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T06:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T07:00:33.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T08:00:14.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T09:00:16.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T10:00:11.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T11:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T12:00:34.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T13:00:14.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T14:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T15:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T16:00:31.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T17:00:14.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T19:00:17.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T20:00:15.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T21:00:14.000Z","probability":0.075},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T22:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-27T23:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T01:00:27.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T02:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T03:00:11.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T04:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T05:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T06:00:29.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T07:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T08:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T09:00:31.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T10:00:11.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T11:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T12:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T13:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T14:00:11.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T15:00:12.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T16:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T17:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T18:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T19:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T20:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T21:00:30.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T22:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-28T23:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T00:00:20.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T01:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T02:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T03:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T04:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T05:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T07:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T08:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T09:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T10:00:33.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T11:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T12:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T13:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T14:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T15:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T16:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T17:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T19:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T20:00:27.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T21:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T22:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-29T23:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T01:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T02:00:30.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T03:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T04:00:25.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T05:00:58.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T06:00:12.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T07:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T08:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T09:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T10:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T11:00:10.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T12:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T13:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T14:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T15:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T16:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T17:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T18:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T19:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T20:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T21:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T22:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-30T23:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T00:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T01:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T02:00:10.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T03:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T04:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T05:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T07:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T08:00:12.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T09:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T10:00:20.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T11:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T12:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T13:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T14:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T15:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T16:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T17:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T19:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T20:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T21:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T22:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-08-31T23:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T00:00:30.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T01:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T02:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T03:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T04:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T05:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T07:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T08:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T09:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T10:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T11:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T12:00:20.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T13:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T14:00:26.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T15:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T16:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T17:00:31.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:18.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:27.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:10.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:19.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:30.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:36.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:13.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:29.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:14.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T18:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T19:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T20:00:17.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T21:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T22:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T23:00:16.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-03T00:00:22.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-03T01:00:15.000Z","probability":0.065},{"timestamp":"2026-09-03T01:38:14.000Z","probability":0.065}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"687642","eventId":"83798","eventTitle":"2027년 이전 중국-일본 군사 충돌?","optionLabel":null,"slug":"china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027-S3WQfSEVZxJ8.jpg","title":"2027년 이전 중국-일본 군사 충돌?","originalTitle":"China x Japan military clash before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","category":"politics","tags":["HFC","China","World","Geopolitics","Japan"],"status":"open","probability":0.065,"noProbability":0.935,"change1h":null,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.015,"change1m":-0.02,"volume":1325245.4081139998,"volume24h":4339.9696,"liquidity":77825.8354,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"24359841971256354562338291910316825498086150942929460621080163666720754945761","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T01:40:36.216595Z","translated":true}],"eventHistory":[],"marketContext":{"volume24h":{"rank":null,"comparedCount":338,"label":"낮음"},"liquidity":{"rank":null,"comparedCount":397,"label":"낮음"}}}}