{"exportedAt":"2026-09-02T17:58:45.241Z","range":"1d","source":"Polymarket public API via PolyView","market":{"id":"2853074","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"December 31","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-december-31-983-117-222-252","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"society","tags":[],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":-0.015,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.015,"change1m":-0.015,"volume":492864.34571599995,"volume24h":11768.713394999999,"liquidity":61863.0142,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false,"history":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:22.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:16.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:52.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:15.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:17.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:16.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:18.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:30.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:24.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:21.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:17.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:19.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:17.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:18.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:11.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:14.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:11.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:30.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:25.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:30.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:28.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:15.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:27.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:24.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:28.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:20.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:33.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:44.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:34.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:16.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:26.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:19.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:12.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:18.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:15.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:16.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:15.000Z","probability":0.165}],"analysis":null,"news":[],"eventMarkets":[{"id":"2853074","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"December 31","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-december-31-983-117-222-252","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"politics","tags":["Politics","houthi","Iran","traffic","Strait of Hormuz","Oil","Geopolitics","Regional Spillover","shipping","red sea","cape of good hope","Houthis","Yemen"],"status":"open","probability":0.165,"noProbability":0.835,"change1h":-0.015,"change24h":null,"change1w":-0.015,"change1m":-0.015,"volume":492864.34571599995,"volume24h":11768.713394999999,"liquidity":61863.0142,"endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"43976511902268111041633866799555037330317427315454056847054364885183934986197","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false},{"id":"3758964","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"October 31","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-october-31","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"politics","tags":["Politics","houthi","Iran","traffic","Strait of Hormuz","Oil","Geopolitics","Regional Spillover","shipping","red sea","cape of good hope","Houthis","Yemen"],"status":"open","probability":0.1,"noProbability":0.9,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.005,"change1w":-0.005,"change1m":null,"volume":47027.816507,"volume24h":21366.243982,"liquidity":156721.4361,"endDate":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"6220545533865458838439353925905089798175804014497201461345552520180406649867","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false},{"id":"2170255","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"September 30","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-30-999-671-939","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"politics","tags":["Politics","houthi","Iran","traffic","Strait of Hormuz","Oil","Geopolitics","Regional Spillover","shipping","red sea","cape of good hope","Houthis","Yemen"],"status":"open","probability":0.0345,"noProbability":0.9655,"change1h":-0.0015,"change24h":-0.003,"change1w":-0.0255,"change1m":-0.0505,"volume":2427952.9153589997,"volume24h":51776.340146,"liquidity":138356.7044,"endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"79492971912420892776290893910148058147353983898749011679176479416889510526578","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false},{"id":"3758940","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"September 15","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-15","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"politics","tags":["Politics","houthi","Iran","traffic","Strait of Hormuz","Oil","Geopolitics","Regional Spillover","shipping","red sea","cape of good hope","Houthis","Yemen"],"status":"open","probability":0.013,"noProbability":0.987,"change1h":-0.0005,"change24h":-0.001,"change1w":-0.02,"change1m":null,"volume":271824.517206,"volume24h":16562.286329,"liquidity":65166.61102,"endDate":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"71196432678894692637851043462917445459840798162184260770134856020754277710922","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false},{"id":"2911874","eventId":"276527","eventTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?","optionLabel":"August 31","slug":"bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-august-31","imageUrl":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-end-of-april-Y8A7Ig2p8X2K.jpg","title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","originalTitle":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","originalDescription":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.\n\nIf no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.","category":"politics","tags":["Politics","houthi","Iran","traffic","Strait of Hormuz","Oil","Geopolitics","Regional Spillover","shipping","red sea","cape of good hope","Houthis","Yemen"],"status":"open","probability":0.0015,"noProbability":0.9985,"change1h":null,"change24h":0.001,"change1w":-0.002,"change1m":-0.0355,"volume":2523226.042301,"volume24h":1457.513906,"liquidity":80826.33669,"endDate":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","outcome":null,"tokenId":"30774565298935121666763850272423963284589055313497974568971929195252437852383","sourceUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T17:56:35.330533Z","translated":false}],"eventHistory":[{"marketId":"2853074","label":"December 31","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:22.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:16.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:52.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:15.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:17.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:16.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:18.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:30.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:24.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:21.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:17.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:19.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:17.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:18.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:25.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:11.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:14.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:16.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:11.000Z","probability":0.17},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:30.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:25.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:30.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:28.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:12.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:15.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:11.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:18.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:14.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:27.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:24.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:28.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:20.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:33.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:19.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:44.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:15.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:12.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:16.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:17.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:11.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:34.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:13.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:16.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:18.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:26.000Z","probability":0.175},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:19.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:12.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:18.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:15.000Z","probability":0.18},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:17.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:16.000Z","probability":0.165},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:15.000Z","probability":0.165}]},{"marketId":"3758964","label":"October 31","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:21.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:17.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:17.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:12.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:22.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:16.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:52.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:15.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:17.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:16.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:18.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:29.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:24.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:16.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:21.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:17.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:19.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:17.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:18.000Z","probability":0.12},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:15.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:24.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:11.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:16.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:14.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:16.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:11.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:15.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:30.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:18.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:25.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:16.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:14.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:19.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:11.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:17.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:11.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:30.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:11.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:28.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:15.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:18.000Z","probability":0.115},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:17.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:12.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:15.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:18.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:11.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:18.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:11.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:15.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:14.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:13.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:15.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:13.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:15.000Z","probability":0.105},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:26.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:11.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:24.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:19.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:19.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:15.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:28.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:13.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:20.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:12.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:33.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:19.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:16.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:17.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:44.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:17.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:15.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:18.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:12.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:13.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:16.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:16.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:18.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:16.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:11.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:34.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:13.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:18.000Z","probability":0.095},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:16.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:18.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:26.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:19.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:12.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:18.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:14.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:17.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:16.000Z","probability":0.1},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:15.000Z","probability":0.1}]},{"marketId":"2170255","label":"September 30","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:19.000Z","probability":0.0375},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:16.000Z","probability":0.0375},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0375},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:11.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:19.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:15.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:50.000Z","probability":0.0405},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:14.000Z","probability":0.0525},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0525},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:15.000Z","probability":0.052},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:17.000Z","probability":0.0525},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:28.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:21.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:14.000Z","probability":0.05},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:19.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:16.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:15.000Z","probability":0.049},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:16.000Z","probability":0.049},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:14.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:21.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0475},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:15.000Z","probability":0.049},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:14.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:29.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:24.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:10.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:28.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:27.000Z","probability":0.0495},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:14.000Z","probability":0.049},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:16.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:11.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:14.000Z","probability":0.048},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0485},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:10.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:16.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:10.000Z","probability":0.0475},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:14.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:13.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:12.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:14.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:12.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:14.000Z","probability":0.0475},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:22.000Z","probability":0.0455},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:10.000Z","probability":0.0455},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:22.000Z","probability":0.0455},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:14.000Z","probability":0.0455},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:17.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:14.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:22.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:12.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:18.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:11.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:31.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:17.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:15.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:16.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:41.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:16.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:14.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:17.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:11.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:12.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:15.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:15.000Z","probability":0.045},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:17.000Z","probability":0.0465},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0465},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:10.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:32.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:12.000Z","probability":0.047},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:16.000Z","probability":0.046},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:15.000Z","probability":0.036},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:16.000Z","probability":0.036},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:20.000Z","probability":0.036},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:17.000Z","probability":0.036},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:11.000Z","probability":0.036},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0355},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:13.000Z","probability":0.0355},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0345},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:15.000Z","probability":0.0345},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:14.000Z","probability":0.0345}]},{"marketId":"3758940","label":"September 15","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:15.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:15.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:13.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:10.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:15.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:47.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:14.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:14.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:26.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:16.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:15.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:15.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:14.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:14.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:13.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:17.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:09.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:13.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:12.000Z","probability":0.015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:13.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:09.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:13.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:27.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:15.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:23.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:14.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:12.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:14.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:08.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:13.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:09.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:27.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:08.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:25.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:12.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:15.000Z","probability":0.0145},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:13.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:09.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:12.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:14.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:09.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:14.000Z","probability":0.012},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:09.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:12.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:11.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:09.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:10.000Z","probability":0.0125},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:12.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:16.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:09.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:18.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:09.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:15.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:13.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:14.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:10.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:15.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:09.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:29.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:14.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:13.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:14.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:35.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:14.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:15.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:10.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:14.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:15.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:13.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:09.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:29.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:10.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:14.000Z","probability":0.014},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:14.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:13.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:09.000Z","probability":0.0135},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:14.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:11.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:14.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:13.000Z","probability":0.013},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:13.000Z","probability":0.013}]},{"marketId":"2911874","label":"August 31","points":[{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:00:20.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:15:17.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T18:45:12.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:00:21.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:15:16.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:30:51.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T19:45:15.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:15:16.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:30:18.000Z","probability":0.0025},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T20:45:29.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:00:23.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:15:15.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:30:20.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T21:45:17.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:00:18.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:15:16.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T22:30:17.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-01T23:45:15.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:00:23.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:15:10.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:30:16.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T00:45:14.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:00:15.000Z","probability":0.002},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:15:10.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:30:15.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T01:45:29.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:15:25.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T02:45:13.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:15:11.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T03:45:11.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:00:29.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:15:11.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:30:28.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T04:45:14.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:15:17.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:30:12.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T05:45:14.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:00:17.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:15:10.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:30:17.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T06:45:10.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:00:15.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:15:13.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:30:12.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T07:45:15.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:00:12.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:15:14.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:30:24.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T08:45:11.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:00:23.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:15:17.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:30:18.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T09:45:15.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:00:25.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:15:13.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:30:19.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T10:45:11.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:00:32.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:15:18.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:30:15.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T11:45:16.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:00:43.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:15:11.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:30:17.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T12:45:15.000Z","probability":0.001},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:00:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:15:12.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:30:13.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T13:45:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:00:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:15:17.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T14:45:11.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:00:33.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:15:13.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:30:17.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T15:45:15.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:15:23.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:30:18.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T16:45:11.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:00:17.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:15:14.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:30:16.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:45:15.000Z","probability":0.0015},{"timestamp":"2026-09-02T17:58:14.000Z","probability":0.0015}]}]}}